🧩 Flows vs. States in Market Microstructure
Market data fundamentally comes in two ontologically distinct categories:
instantaneous states and aggregated flows.
| Category | Examples | Nature | Mathematical Form |
|---|---|---|---|
| State variables | Price, Open Interest (OI), Funding Rate, Inventory, Liquidity Depth | Snapshot at a given instant — represents how much exists right now | |
| Flow / Activity variables | Volume, Turnover, Transaction Count, Notional Traded | Cumulative or rate-of-change over an interval — represents how much changed during Δt |
A state variable is like a photo;
a flow variable is like a video segment.
⚙️ Reconciling the Two
Because they live in different dimensions (one per time, one at a time), they can’t be directly compared without transformation.
1. Convert a Flow to a Rate
This expresses how active the market is per unit time — e.g., trades per second.
2. Convert a State to a Flow Proxy
This measures the rate of position creation/closure — an “OI flow.”
Now both terms live in rate-space and can be compared:
This fraction represents the share of traded volume that results in new exposure rather than position rotation.
🧮 Derived Ratios
| Metric | Formula | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover Rate | How many times the open book “trades” per chosen time unit. | |
| Position Formation Ratio | What share of volume created or closed positions. |
Both can be expressed per time window (1h, 1d, etc.) for consistency.
🧭 Philosophical Framing
- Stocks (States): how much exists — the system’s potential energy.
- Flows: how much moves — the system’s kinetic energy.
When large flows meet large stocks, markets enter high-stress regimes:
latent leverage meets realized trading activity.
Most dynamic indicators (funding, delta imbalance, volatility) emerge at this interface between stocks and flows.
🧠 Key Takeaway
Volume is always an aggregation over time.
Open Interest is always an instantaneous measurement.
Confusing the two leads to misleading interpretations.
Recognizing their dimensional difference — and translating one into the other when needed — is the foundation for constructing meaningful stock-to-flow metrics in leveraged markets.