📄️ The Cart Before the Horse
A common decision-making error is treating imagined sequencing constraints as real dependencies. Most dependency graphs are incorrect.
📄️ Misguided Decision Making
A deep dive into how well-intended policies can backfire—featuring Goodhart's Law, Campbell's Law, the Cobra Effect, and more. This article explores how simplistic reliance on metrics and incentives can distort outcomes in organizational and societal systems.
📄️ Phantom Constraints
How a misidentified electrical outlet revealed a class of constraints that feel real but do not exist.
📄️ The Yes Lock: Strategy as a Disguised Exit Ramp in Social Risk
A framework for understanding how strategy selection can act as an avoidance mechanism in socially risky situations, and how to preserve decision integrity once a 'yes' is made.